Welsh Premier League Round 17

Caersws vs Llanelli AFC analysis

Caersws Llanelli AFC
69 ELO 56
6.9% Tilt 9.1%
6516º General ELO ranking 20131º
48º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
71.5%
Caersws
16.8%
Draw
11.6%
Llanelli AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
Caersws
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.6%
Win probability
Llanelli AFC
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Caersws
Llanelli AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caersws
Caersws
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2002
BAR
Barry Town
0 - 3
Caersws
CAE
55%
22%
23%
69 69 0 0
26 Dec. 2001
CAE
Caersws
1 - 0
Newtown
NEW
60%
22%
18%
69 64 5 0
21 Dec. 2001
CAE
Caersws
1 - 2
The New Saints
TNS
53%
23%
24%
69 69 0 0
08 Dec. 2001
CAE
Caersws
2 - 0
Rhyl FC
RHY
53%
23%
24%
69 65 4 0
01 Dec. 2001
BAN
Bangor City
1 - 1
Caersws
CAE
42%
24%
34%
69 62 7 0

Matches

Llanelli AFC
Llanelli AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2002
LLA
Llanelli AFC
2 - 2
Oswestry
OSW
61%
20%
19%
57 51 6 0
29 Dec. 2001
LLA
Llanelli AFC
1 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
54%
21%
24%
57 55 2 0
26 Dec. 2001
CAR
Carmarthen Town
0 - 0
Llanelli AFC
LLA
72%
17%
12%
56 69 13 +1
22 Dec. 2001
CON
Connah's Quay
0 - 6
Llanelli AFC
LLA
74%
16%
10%
54 69 15 +2
15 Dec. 2001
LLA
Llanelli AFC
1 - 0
Caernarfon Town
CAE
55%
22%
23%
53 54 1 +1