Caersws vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
CWM
1 - 1
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 0
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
2 - 5
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
RHA
1 - 3
CAE
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
HAV
1 - 1
CAE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
CON
3 - 2
CON
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CON
0 - 0
LID
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
BAN
1 - 3
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |