Caersws vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAE
73%
17%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 2
HAV
24%
25%
52%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 3
BAN
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAE
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
3 - 1
CAE
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
BAL
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
BAN
6 - 3
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 1
POR
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
AIR
0 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |