Caernarfon Town FC vs Lex XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
HOL
0 - 3
CAE
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
7 - 0
QPA
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 0
RTW
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
8 - 1
LLA
93%
6%
2%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 0
FLI
82%
11%
7%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lex XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LEX
1 - 2
COR
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
LEX
0 - 3
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +9 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
2 - 2
LLA
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
4 - 2
MOL
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
LEX
3 - 3
GUI
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |