Caerau Ely vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
BRI
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
TAF
0 - 1
CAE
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
MON
63%
19%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
TAF
1 - 1
LID
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LID
0 - 1
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
LID
0 - 1
ABE
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 3
LID
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
LID
2 - 2
TAF
37%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |