Caerau Ely vs Aberdare Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 1
TAF
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 0
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 0
GOY
72%
15%
12%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 2
GOY
52%
21%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
TON
1 - 4
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
LID
1 - 3
ABE
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GOY
3 - 0
ABE
47%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 1
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MON
3 - 1
ABE
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |