Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
CAE
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 1
CAE
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TFC
4 - 1
PSG
35%
30%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
37%
31%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MON
3 - 2
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TFC
3 - 0
GIR
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
USB
0 - 2
TFC
30%
27%
44%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |