Caen vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAE
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MET
1 - 2
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 2
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 2
SOC
26%
27%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
MAR
27%
30%
43%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
STR
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 3
PSG
45%
28%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PSG
2 - 1
MAR
57%
25%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |