Caen vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
CAE
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
IST
1 - 2
CAE
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 1
REI
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAE
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
FCG
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 3
LMU
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LEN
0 - 0
NIC
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
PSG
38%
30%
32%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
46%
29%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |