Caen vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MET
1 - 2
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
AJA
0 - 2
CAE
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 2
SOC
26%
27%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
REN
1 - 1
CAE
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CAE
2 - 1
NAN
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
38%
30%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIC
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
NIC
0 - 0
IST
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
STR
3 - 1
NIC
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |