Caen vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
CAE
5 - 0
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 1
SED
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
SÈT
1 - 1
CAE
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CAE
3 - 0
AMI
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 2
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
CLE
0 - 3
LOR
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
LOR
1 - 1
IST
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
SED
1 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |