Caen vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
REI
1 - 2
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
CAE
3 - 0
FCG
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
AMI
1 - 0
CAE
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
CAE
0 - 0
GRE
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CLE
2 - 3
CAE
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
ASB
65%
23%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
LIL
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
0 - 0
LUS
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
NIO
1 - 1
LOR
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |