Caen vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CLE
2 - 2
CAE
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
3 - 1
NIO
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ARL
3 - 2
CAE
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 2
MET
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 3
AUX
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
LHA
1 - 0
IST
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
LHA
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LHA
6 - 2
LEN
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NÎM
0 - 0
LHA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
LHA
2 - 3
AMI
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |