Caen vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 4
CAE
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAE
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 1
TFC
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DIJ
1 - 0
CAE
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
VAL
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
DUN
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
PAU
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
DIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |