Caen U19 vs Montfermeil U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
10º
47
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAE
3 - 2
HAV
30%
23%
48%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PSG
4 - 1
CAE
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
AMI
5 - 1
CAE
49%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 0
DRA
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
FEI
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Montfermeil U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
MON
5 - 3
LIL
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
STP
0 - 2
MON
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MON
5 - 1
EVR
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
LEN
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 2
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |