Caen II vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
CAE
57%
24%
20%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
LES
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 1
CAE
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
STA
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
PAC
3 - 2
CAE
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
7 - 2
PLA
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LIL
2 - 0
VAL
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
LAV
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 2
FCR
19%
26%
55%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GUI
3 - 0
VAL
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |