Caen II vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAE
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 3
LEH
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VCH
2 - 1
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
LAV
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAU
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
PON
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 1
SAU
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 1
LES
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |