National 2 Round 27

Caen II vs Pontivy analysis

Caen II Pontivy
44 ELO 38
-2% Tilt -1.2%
6302º General ELO ranking 6624º
172º Country ELO ranking 192º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Caen II
21.8%
Draw
17.4%
Pontivy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
Caen II
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.4%
Win probability
Pontivy
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen II
-23%
-29%
Pontivy

ELO progression

Caen II
Pontivy
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen II
Caen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2010
STA
Stade Rennais II
3 - 0
Caen II
CAE
38%
26%
36%
46 42 4 0
27 Mar. 2010
CAE
Caen II
2 - 2
Ivry
IVR
57%
24%
20%
47 44 3 -1
18 Mar. 2010
QUE
QRM
2 - 4
Caen II
CAE
66%
20%
14%
45 52 7 +2
13 Mar. 2010
CAE
Caen II
1 - 1
Quimper Cornouaille
QUC
68%
19%
13%
45 33 12 0
10 Mar. 2010
CAE
Caen II
1 - 1
Le Havre II
LEH
35%
27%
39%
45 52 7 0

Matches

Pontivy
Pontivy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2010
PON
Pontivy
1 - 4
Le Havre II
LEH
24%
27%
50%
39 52 13 0
28 Mar. 2010
AUX
Auxerre II
2 - 2
Pontivy
PON
66%
20%
14%
39 48 9 0
20 Mar. 2010
PON
Pontivy
0 - 2
Avranches
AVR
45%
26%
29%
40 39 1 -1
13 Mar. 2010
RAC
Racing Colombes 92
0 - 0
Pontivy
PON
64%
21%
15%
39 48 9 +1
06 Mar. 2010
PON
Pontivy
1 - 1
V.Châtillon
VCH
36%
26%
38%
39 41 2 0