Caen II vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LEM
2 - 1
CAE
42%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 2
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VCH
3 - 1
CAE
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
2 - 0
LUC
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LES
3 - 0
CAE
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
3 - 2
ROM
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FON
1 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
PLA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GDB
1 - 1
LOR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
PON
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |