National 2 Group A Round 20

Caen II vs Blois analysis

Caen II Blois
41 ELO 45
-0.2% Tilt -0.5%
6980º General ELO ranking 3884º
186º Country ELO ranking 80º
ELO win probability
40.2%
Caen II
25.1%
Draw
34.7%
Blois

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
Caen II
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.7%
Win probability
Blois
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen II
-1%
+19%
Blois

Points and table prediction

Caen II
Their league position
Blois
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
11º
16º
16º
39
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Rouen 1899
69
69
100%
RC France
56
59
95%
Chambly
57
57
95%
Voltigeurs Châteaubriant
48
48
65.5%
Poissy
41
46
65.5%
Saint-Malo
43
43
100%
Beauvais Oise
39
39
0%
Blois
39
39
26.5%
Saint-Pryve
39
39
73.5%
Granville
10º
37
37
10º
100%
Evreux 27
12º
31
35
11º
47.5%
Guingamp II
11º
34
35
12º
47.5%
Chartres
16º
20
28
13º
59.5%
Stade Rennais II
13º
25
26
14º
59.5%
Vannes
14º
24
24
15º
0%
Caen II
15º
24
24
16º
0%
Expected probabilities
Caen II
Blois
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Caen II
Blois
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen II
Caen II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
STA
Stade Rennais II
3 - 2
Caen II
CAE
30%
25%
45%
44 37 7 0
11 Feb. 2023
CAE
Caen II
2 - 2
Beauvais Oise
ASB
39%
28%
33%
44 48 4 0
04 Feb. 2023
CHA
Chartres
2 - 3
Caen II
CAE
57%
22%
21%
42 45 3 +2
28 Jan. 2023
RAC
RC France
2 - 1
Caen II
CAE
76%
17%
7%
42 73 31 0
21 Jan. 2023
CAE
Caen II
1 - 1
Evreux 27
EVR
33%
25%
42%
43 47 4 -1

Matches

Blois
Blois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
BLO
Blois
2 - 0
Guingamp II
GUI
48%
24%
28%
43 44 1 0
11 Feb. 2023
SAI
Saint-Malo
3 - 0
Blois
BLO
53%
24%
24%
45 48 3 -2
04 Feb. 2023
BLO
Blois
0 - 2
FC Rouen 1899
FCR
27%
26%
47%
45 57 12 0
21 Jan. 2023
POI
Poissy
1 - 0
Blois
BLO
50%
24%
26%
46 48 2 -1
14 Jan. 2023
STA
Stade Rennais II
3 - 4
Blois
BLO
23%
24%
53%
45 35 10 +1