Caen II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 1
CAE
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 2
OIS
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
EVR
2 - 1
CAE
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 0
BAY
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 3
OIS
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EVR
1 - 2
BAY
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 2
QUE
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DIE
2 - 2
BAY
84%
11%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |