CP Cacereño vs Lucena analysis


53	ELO	58
-12.2%	Tilt	-15%
2800º	General ELO ranking	19054º
92º	Country ELO ranking	5827º
ELO win probability

35.8%

CP Cacereño

29.1%

Draw

35.1%

Lucena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.3%

29.1%

Draw

0-0

11%

1-1

13.4%

2-2

4.1%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

29.1%

35.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CP Cacereño

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Dec. 2011	CFB 0 - 0 CPC 45% 27% 29%	53	51	2	0
04 Dec. 2011	BAL 0 - 0 CPC 44% 27% 29%	53	51	2	0
27 Nov. 2011	CPC 4 - 0 BET 30% 27% 43%	51	57	6	+2
20 Nov. 2011	SPO 1 - 3 CPC 24% 27% 49%	51	39	12	0
13 Nov. 2011	CPC 2 - 1 AGD 30% 28% 43%	50	56	6	+1

Matches

Lucena

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
11 Dec. 2011	LUC 0 - 0 BAL 61% 23% 17%	58	51	7
04 Dec. 2011	BET 0 - 0 LUC 43% 28% 30%	58	56	2
27 Nov. 2011	LUC 1 - 1 SPO 75% 17% 8%	58	38	20
19 Nov. 2011	AGD 0 - 0 LUC 46% 26% 28%	58	56	2
13 Nov. 2011	LUC 1 - 0 RJA 55% 25% 20%	58	57	1