Copa Federacion . 1/16
Global 1-4
CP Cacereño vs CF Talavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CPC
2 - 1
VAL
80%
15%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EMD
0 - 0
CPC
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CPC
1 - 1
MAD
28%
28%
44%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
COR
2 - 0
CPC
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CPC
2 - 1
MON
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CF Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAL
53%
26%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CDE
0 - 1
TAL
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 2
IBI
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 0
TAL
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |