Cacereño B vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacereño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
AMA
1 - 1
CPC
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CPC
1 - 2
COR
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
CPC
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CPC
1 - 1
PLA
26%
26%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
UCL
0 - 3
CPC
34%
26%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ARR
0 - 2
BAD
30%
28%
43%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CER
3 - 0
ARR
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ARR
0 - 2
CPA
71%
20%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MON
1 - 1
ARR
25%
26%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ARR
0 - 2
MON
67%
21%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |