4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 6-4
Cabrils C vs Arenys de Munt A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabrils C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 2
CAB
40%
20%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAB
54%
19%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 1
CAN
43%
21%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CAB
4 - 2
SUF
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAB
11%
14%
75%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Arenys de Munt A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 2
CAB
40%
20%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CMA
1 - 4
ARE
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ARE
1 - 3
CMA
26%
19%
55%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VBM
1 - 4
ARE
44%
20%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ARE
0 - 2
PDB
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |