Cabecense vs La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LEB
0 - 4
CAB
34%
25%
42%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EST
2 - 3
CAB
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SMA
1 - 0
CAB
41%
26%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAB
1 - 1
PIL
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAB
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
YEY
2 - 0
CAN
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
YEY
2 - 0
ADC
30%
26%
44%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SUE
2 - 1
YEY
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
YEY
0 - 2
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
YEY
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |