Vélez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1998 |
ARG
0 - 0
VEL
18%
24%
57%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
NOB
0 - 1
VEL
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
VEL
0 - 0
PLA
70%
20%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
BOC
2 - 3
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1998 |
VEL
3 - 0
CAU
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1998 |
SLO
2 - 2
NOB
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
PLA
1 - 4
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
SLO
2 - 1
BOC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
CAU
3 - 2
SLO
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1998 |
SLO
4 - 0
GYT
82%
12%
5%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |