Vélez Sarsfield vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAN
0 - 0
VEL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
GIM
2 - 2
COL
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BAN
2 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
NOB
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |