Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
NOB
1 - 1
VEL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1958 |
VEL
0 - 2
SLO
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
VEL
1 - 0
RIV
37%
24%
40%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
LAN
0 - 2
VEL
59%
21%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
GLP
0 - 5
VEL
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAN
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1958 |
GLP
1 - 1
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ATL
1 - 1
RAC
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1958 |
CCS
2 - 0
ATL
43%
21%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
CEN
0 - 0
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |