River Plate vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1981 |
TAL
2 - 1
RIV
55%
23%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
RIV
3 - 1
RAC
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
CEN
2 - 2
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
RIV
0 - 1
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
RIV
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
1 - 1
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1981 |
NOB
0 - 2
BOC
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
4 - 0
SLO
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
CAU
2 - 0
BOC
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1981 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAR
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |