CA Lugano vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
UAI
2 - 1
LUG
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 1
LIN
31%
27%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CAA
0 - 1
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LUG
2 - 1
CLA
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
JUU
0 - 3
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2008 |
BER
4 - 2
VIC
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MUÑ
0 - 3
BER
13%
21%
67%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BER
1 - 0
ITU
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
RIE
1 - 2
BER
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
BER
4 - 2
PUE
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |