Boca Juniors vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
AND
0 - 1
BOC
8%
19%
73%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
BOC
2 - 0
TAL
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
IND
3 - 0
BOC
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 2
BOC
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
BOC
3 - 3
CEN
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2000 |
LEE
0 - 2
RMA
30%
26%
44%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
VIL
0 - 1
RMA
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
RMA
5 - 1
UDL
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 0
RMA
22%
22%
56%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
NUM
3 - 1
RMA
20%
23%
57%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |