Boca Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 0
SMA
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ARG
3 - 2
BOC
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
BOC
0 - 0
CEN
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
BOC
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LAN
0 - 0
BOC
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GLP
0 - 2
ARG
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CEN
2 - 2
GLP
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
GLP
0 - 1
TIG
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ARG
0 - 0
GLP
44%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GLP
1 - 2
RAC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |