CA Bastia vs Noisy-le-Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AUB
1 - 1
CAB
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
POI
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 0
CAB
35%
27%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
LEN
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NOI
1 - 4
LIL
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
NOI
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NOI
1 - 0
SEN
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NOI
1 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
NOI
60%
24%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |