Guadeloupe League Normal Season Round 15

CS Capesterre Bell vs Red Star analysis

CS Capesterre Bell Red Star
25 ELO 29
2.6% Tilt 1.9%
21706º General ELO ranking 27240º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
43.6%
CS Capesterre Bell
22.1%
Draw
34.3%
Red Star

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
CS Capesterre Bell
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
34.3%
Win probability
Red Star
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CS Capesterre Bell
-20%
-20%
Red Star

Points and table prediction

CS Capesterre Bell
Their league position
Red Star
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
16º
18º
14
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Gauloise
38
38
100%
CS Moulien
38
38
100%
Solidarité Scolaire
32
33
81.5%
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau
31
31
66%
US Baie-Mahault
27
30
66%
Jeunesse Evolution
27
27
76.5%
AS Gosier
26
26
76.5%
Phare du Canal
24
24
76.5%
Sporting Baie-Mahault
23
23
100%
Siroco
10º
21
21
10º
100%
CERFA
12º
17
17
11º
100%
Dynamo Le Moule
11º
17
17
12º
100%
Juventus SA
13º
16
16
13º
0%
Gourbeyre
14º
16
16
14º
0%
Red Star
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Vieux-Habitants
16º
13
13
16º
100%
Stade Lamentinois
17º
11
11
17º
100%
CS Capesterre Bell
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CS Capesterre Bell
Red Star
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

CS Capesterre Bell
Red Star
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CS Capesterre Bell
CS Capesterre Bell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2023
CSC
CS Capesterre Bell
1 - 1
AS Gosier
ASG
40%
22%
38%
25 29 4 0
10 Dec. 2022
JEE
Jeunesse Evolution
0 - 1
CS Capesterre Bell
CSC
63%
19%
18%
24 32 8 +1
03 Dec. 2022
CSC
CS Capesterre Bell
2 - 1
Vieux-Habitants
VIE
37%
22%
41%
23 28 5 +1
01 Dec. 2022
CBM
Sporting Baie-Mahault
3 - 1
CS Capesterre Bell
CSC
68%
17%
15%
24 31 7 -1
19 Nov. 2022
CSC
CS Capesterre Bell
0 - 1
CERFA
CER
34%
22%
45%
24 29 5 0

Matches

Red Star
Red Star
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
RSG
Red Star
0 - 1
CS Moulien
CSM
46%
24%
30%
29 32 3 0
07 Jan. 2023
LAG
La Gauloise
4 - 0
Red Star
RSG
49%
24%
28%
30 32 2 -1
11 Dec. 2022
RSG
Red Star
2 - 1
CERFA
CER
41%
22%
37%
29 31 2 +1
01 Dec. 2022
RSG
Red Star
4 - 2
Vieux-Habitants
VIE
46%
24%
30%
28 29 1 +1
26 Nov. 2022
ASG
AS Gosier
1 - 0
Red Star
RSG
61%
20%
19%
28 32 4 0