SCD Durango vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.5%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CUL
3 - 1
CDU
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CDU
0 - 2
SLA
13%
24%
63%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
ZAL
2 - 2
CDU
48%
28%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CDU
0 - 0
LEM
25%
29%
46%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 0
RSO
20%
26%
53%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 2
BAR
53%
27%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ALA
0 - 0
BUR
37%
31%
31%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
20%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 1
SLA
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CFP
0 - 3
BUR
40%
31%
30%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |