C.D. Útica vs Bailén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
FSV
3 - 4
CDU
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CDU
2 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BEA
1 - 3
CDU
17%
20%
63%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CDU
3 - 0
ORC
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LIN
0 - 2
CDU
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
BAI
2 - 0
CDR
67%
21%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
BAI
41%
27%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BAI
5 - 1
QUE
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BAI
2 - 0
FSV
47%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
BAI
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |