CD Demo vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
67.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CDP
5 - 1
CDD
59%
20%
21%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
1 - 1
LCF
14%
20%
66%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 2
CDD
56%
21%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CDD
0 - 1
OSU
18%
22%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
4 - 0
CDD
47%
24%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
CAM
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
EST
29%
25%
47%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
UDB
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |