CD Demo vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SUE
1 - 1
CDD
70%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
FER
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
CDD
21%
21%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAJ
2 - 0
CDD
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 2
LAJ
28%
23%
50%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 3
HER
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
CAL
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 3
PIN
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |