Atl.Plus Ultra vs Velez Rubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl.Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 2
ATL
46%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATC
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
ATL
36%
24%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIC
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Velez Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GIL
3 - 0
VLZ
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VLZ
2 - 3
CUE
17%
21%
61%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VLZ
1 - 1
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
VLZ
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 2
VLZ
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |