C.D. Arahelense vs Montellano CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ADC
2 - 3
CDA
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 1
CIR
78%
14%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
CDA
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CDA
4 - 2
ATL
61%
19%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COR
5 - 1
CDA
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Montellano CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
SAN
23%
23%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BEN
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HUE
1 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
MSQ
51%
23%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |