Buxton vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BUX
1 - 1
EAS
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
BUX
0 - 2
FLE
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
WIT
1 - 1
BUX
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EAS
0 - 2
BUX
40%
25%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
BUX
3 - 1
ASH
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
STA
1 - 1
GAT
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 5
GAT
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
PRE
0 - 2
GAT
17%
22%
60%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GAT
4 - 0
EAS
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GAT
2 - 0
MAT
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |