Busto 81 vs Marnate Nizzolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busto 81
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 2
UBO
46%
23%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
BUS
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUS
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BUS
0 - 0
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 1
BUS
22%
22%
55%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Marnate Nizzolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
RON
9%
16%
74%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LEN
3 - 1
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
POR
15%
20%
65%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
3 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |