Bury vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
BCF
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 3
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 2
GUL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
BCF
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
MOR
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OXF
3 - 0
BUR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OXF
2 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
OXF
1 - 2
STE
33%
28%
38%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
OXF
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
OXF
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |