Bury vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 4
BCF
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
POS
1 - 0
BCF
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 1
BCF
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BCF
1 - 2
DAR
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
STO
1 - 2
BCF
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
GRI
0 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 4
GRI
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
MOR
0 - 1
GRI
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DAG
2 - 0
MOR
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |