Bury vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SCU
2 - 1
BCF
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 1
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 0
DON
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 1
BCF
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 1
GIL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
1 - 0
FLE
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COV
2 - 1
MIL
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIL
3 - 1
STF
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
COL
0 - 0
MIL
26%
25%
49%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
BUR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |