Bury vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
MKD
2 - 1
BCF
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
EXE
3 - 2
BCF
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BCF
1 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
BCF
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 0
BCF
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LEY
1 - 3
SCU
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 2
LEY
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LEY
0 - 1
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PNE
0 - 2
LEY
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LEY
1 - 1
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |