Bury vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
BCF
2 - 0
SUN
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
WYC
3 - 0
BCF
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 2
STF
35%
28%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 3
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
MKD
2 - 1
BCF
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
GRI
0 - 3
CRE
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BRO
1 - 0
GRI
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
WRE
3 - 0
GRI
35%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
GRI
3 - 2
BOS
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |