Bury vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
BUR
1 - 4
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
IPS
0 - 0
BCF
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 1
BUR
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 0
HUR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
QPR
0 - 1
BCF
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
CRE
2 - 0
OLD
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
CRE
3 - 1
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1998 |
OLD
3 - 2
CRE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
NOR
2 - 1
CRE
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
IPS
3 - 2
CRE
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |