Bury vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
NTT
1 - 0
BCF
57%
21%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
BCF
1 - 4
LEI
56%
22%
23%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
BCF
3 - 0
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
HUL
5 - 0
BCF
61%
19%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
BCF
0 - 2
BBU
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
BRE
3 - 3
LUT
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
NOT
5 - 2
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
BRE
0 - 0
QPR
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
NTT
2 - 0
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
BRE
1 - 3
LEI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |